Biotechnological Innovation and Agricultural Adaptation to Climate Change: A Patent-Based Analysis

Authors

DOI:

https://doi.org/10.24023/FutureJournal/2175-5825/2026.v18i1.977

Keywords:

Sementes transgênicas, Estresse hídrico, Patentes agrícolas, Aprovação regulatória, Manejo de pragas

Abstract

Purpose: we aim to analyze the role of biotechnological innovation in adapting agriculture to climate change, with emphasis on the development of drought-tolerant cultivars.

Originality: we contribute to literature by integrating patent data and regulatory records, offering a novel approach to assessing technological impact and the degree of commercial adoption of solutions associated with drought tolerance.

Methods: the study adopts a methodology based on the analysis of patents extracted from the Derwent database. Technological impact was measured using bibliometric indicators, complemented by regulatory information on the approval of transgenic seeds.

Results: patent filings accelerate after 2013, with a strong concentration in maize and soybean. Nevertheless, the commercial diffusion of drought-tolerant cultivars remains limited relative to other biotech traits (herbicide tolerance and pest resistance) due to agronomic and economic constraints, notably yield penalties in cropping systems.

Conclusions: the adaptation of agriculture to climate change depends on the consolidation of integrated agricultural systems that combine transgenic seeds, pest management strategies, and supportive public policies. We contribute to a better understanding of the limits and possibilities of biotechnology in addressing climate-related challenges.

Downloads

Download data is not yet available.

Author Biographies

Vinícius Eduardo Ferrari, Pontifícia Universidade Católica de Campinas - PUC, São Paulo, (Brasil)

Pesquisador do Programa de Mestrado em Sustentabilidade da Pontifícia Universidade Católica de Campinas - PUC, São Paulo. Professor da Escola de Economia e Negócios - EcoN, PUC-Campinas

Giovanna Aparecida de Sousa, Pontifícia Universidade Católica de Campinas - PUC, São Paulo, (Brasil)

Graduanda no curso de Economia da Pontifícia Universidade Católica de Campinas - PUC, São Paulo, (Brasil).

Cândido Ferreira da Silva Filho, Pontifícia Universidade Católica de Campinas - PUC, São Paulo, (Brasil)

Pesquisador do Programa de Mestrado em Sustentabilidade da Pontifícia Universidade Católica de Campinas (PUC-Campinas); Professor na Escola de Economia e Negócios - EcoN, PUC/Campinas.

Samuel Carvalho De Benedicto, Pontifícia Universidade Católica de Campinas - PUC, São Paulo, (Brasil)

Pesquisador do Programa de Mestrado em Sustentabilidade da Pontifícia Universidade Católica de Campinas (PUC-Campinas); Professor da EcoN – Escola de Economia e Negócios, PUC/Campinas.

References

Brookes, G., & Barfoot, P. (2014). Economic impact of GM crops. GM Crops & Food, 5(1), 65–75. https://doi.org/10.4161/gmcr.28098 DOI: https://doi.org/10.4161/gmcr.28098

Brookes, G., & Barfoot, P. (2020). GM crops: Global socio-economic and environmental impacts 1996–2018. PG Economics Ltd. https://pgeconomics.co.uk/pdf/globalimpactfinalreportJuly2020.pdf

Caleffi, F., Viegas, C., Lima, K., & Bonato, S. (2024). The impacts of extreme weather events: A comprehensive analysis of the 2024 floods in Rio Grande do Sul. Redes – Revista de Desenvolvimento Regional, 29(1). https://doi.org/10.17058/redes.v29i1.19660 DOI: https://doi.org/10.17058/redes.v29i1.19660

Challinor, A. J., Watson, J., Lobell, D. B., Howden, S. M., Smith, D. R., & Chhetri, N. (2014). A meta-analysis of crop yield under climate change and adaptation. Nature Climate Change, 4, 287–291. https://doi.org/10.1038/nclimate2153 DOI: https://doi.org/10.1038/nclimate2153

Chizzotti, A. (2018). Pesquisa em ciências humanas e sociais. Cortez.

Dosi, G. (1982). Technological paradigms and technological trajectories: A suggested interpretation of the determinants and directions of technical change. Research Policy, 11(3), 147–162. https://doi.org/10.1016/0048-7333(82)90016-6 DOI: https://doi.org/10.1016/0048-7333(82)90016-6

Edmeades, G. O. (2013). Progress in achieving and delivering drought tolerance in maize: An update. International Service for the Acquisition of Agri-biotech Applications (ISAAA). https://www.isaaa.org/resources/publications/briefs/44/specialfeature/Progress%20in%20Achieving%20and%20Delivering%20Drought%20Tolerance%20in%20Maize.pdf

Fernandez-Cornejo, J., & Caswell, M. (2006). The first decade of genetically engineered crops in the United States. U.S. Department of Agriculture, Economic Research Service. https://www.ers.usda.gov/publications/pub-details?pubid=43741

Ferrari, V. E., Silveira, J. M. F. J., & Dal-Poz, M. E. S. (2021). Patent network analysis in agriculture: A case study of the development and protection of biotechnologies. Economics of Innovation and New Technology, 30(2), 111–133. https://doi.org/10.1080/10438599.2019.1684645 DOI: https://doi.org/10.1080/10438599.2019.1684645

Ferrari, V. E., Moreira, A. M. de A., Branchi, B. A., Benedicto, S. C., & Silva Filho, C. F. (2023). Um estudo sobre o progresso das agendas de promoção da segurança alimentar e do desenvolvimento agrícola. Contribuciones a las Ciencias Sociales, 16(10), 24561–24577. https://doi.org/10.55905/revconv.16n.10-343 DOI: https://doi.org/10.55905/revconv.16n.10-343

Fontana, R., Nuvolari, A., & Verspagen, B. (2009). Mapping technological trajectories as patent citation networks: An application to data communication standards. Economics of Innovation and New Technology, 18(4), 311–336. https://doi.org/10.1080/10438590802564570 DOI: https://doi.org/10.1080/10438590801969073

Food and Agriculture Organization of the United Nations (FAO). (2023). The impact of disasters on agriculture and food security 2023: Avoiding and reducing losses through investment in resilience. https://doi.org/10.4060/cc7900en DOI: https://doi.org/10.4060/cc7900en

Gil, A. C. (2019). Métodos e técnicas de pesquisa social. Atlas.

Graff, G. D., Hochman, G., & Zilberman, D. (2009). The political economy of agricultural biotechnology policies. AgBioForum, 12(1), 34–46. https://agbioforum.org/wp-content/uploads/2021/02/AgBioForum-12-1-34.pdf

Griliches, Z. (1998). Patent statistics as economic indicators: A survey. In National Bureau of Economic Research (Ed.), R&D and productivity: The econometric evidence (pp. 287–343). University of Chicago Press.

Gurian-Sherman, D. (2009). Failure to yield: Evaluating the performance of genetically engineered crops. Union of Concerned Scientists. https://www.ucs.org/sites/default/files/2019-10/failure-to-yield.pdf

Hall, B. H., Jaffe, A. B., & Trajtenberg, M. (2001). The NBER patent citation data file: Lessons, insights and methodological tools (NBER Working Paper No. 8498). National Bureau of Economic Research. https://www.nber.org/papers/w8498 DOI: https://doi.org/10.3386/w8498

Harhoff, D., Scherer, F. M., & Vopel, K. (2003). Citations, family size, opposition and the value of patent rights. Research Policy, 32(8), 1343–1363. https://doi.org/10.1016/S0048-7333(02)00124-5 DOI: https://doi.org/10.1016/S0048-7333(02)00124-5

Hultgren, A., Carleton, T., Delgado, M., Gergel, D. R., Greenstone, M., Houser, T., Hsiang, S., Jina, A., Kopp, R. E., Malevich, S. B., McCusker, K. E., Mayer, T., Nath, I., Rising, J., Rode, A., & Yuan, J. (2025). Impacts of climate change on global agriculture accounting for adaptation. Nature, 642(8068), 644–652. https://doi.org/10.1038/s41586-025-09085-w DOI: https://doi.org/10.1038/s41586-025-09085-w

International Service for the Acquisition of Agri-biotech Applications (ISAAA). (2016). Global status of commercialized biotech/GM crops: 2016 (ISAAA Brief No. 52). https://www.isaaa.org/resources/publications/briefs/52/download/isaaa-brief-52-2016.pdf

International Service for the Acquisition of Agri-biotech Applications (ISAAA). (2018). Global status of commercialized biotech/GM crops: 2018: Biotech crops continue to help meet the challenges of increased population and climate change (ISAAA Brief No. 54). https://www.isaaa.org/resources/publications/briefs/54/download/isaaa-brief-54-2018.pdf

International Service for the Acquisition of Agri-biotech Applications (ISAAA). (2026). GM approval database. Retrieved April 29, 2026, from https://www.isaaa.org/gmapprovaldatabase/

Kekst CNC. (2023). Farmer voice survey 2023. https://www.bayer.com/sites/default/files/FarmerVoiceSurvey2023.pdf

Klümper, W., & Qaim, M. (2014). A meta-analysis of the impacts of genetically modified crops. Plos One, 9(11), e111629. https://doi.org/10.1371/journal.pone.0111629 DOI: https://doi.org/10.1371/journal.pone.0111629

Lobell, D. B., Schlenker, W., & Costa-Roberts, J. (2011). Climate trends and global crop production since 1980. Science, 333(6042), 616–620. https://doi.org/10.1126/science.1204531 DOI: https://doi.org/10.1126/science.1204531

McFadden, J., Smith, D., Wechsler, S., & Wallander, S. (2019). Development, adoption, and management of drought-tolerant corn in the United States (Economic Information Bulletin No. 204). U.S. Department of Agriculture, Economic Research Service. https://ers.usda.gov/sites/default/files/_laserfiche/publications/91103/EIB-204.pdf?v=29559

Oliveira, S. F., Prado, R. B., & Monteiro, J. M. G. (2022). Impactos das mudanças climáticas na produção agrícola e medidas de adaptação sob a percepção de atores e produtores rurais de Nova Friburgo, RJ. Interações, 23(4), 1179–1201. https://doi.org/10.20435/inter.v23i4.3548 DOI: https://doi.org/10.20435/inter.v23i4.3548

Pellegrino, E., Bedini, S., Nuti, M., & Ercoli, L. (2018). Impact of genetically engineered maize on agronomic, environmental and toxicological traits: A meta-analysis of 21 years of field data. Scientific Reports, 8(1), Article 3113. https://doi.org/10.1038/s41598-018-21284-2 DOI: https://doi.org/10.1038/s41598-018-21284-2

Qaim, M., & de Janvry, A. (2005). Bt cotton and pesticide use in Argentina: Economic and environmental effects. Environment and Development Economics, 10(2), 179–200. https://doi.org/10.1017/S1355770X04001883 DOI: https://doi.org/10.1017/S1355770X04001883

Seixas, R. N. L., Silveira, J. M. F. J., & Ferrari, V. E. (2022). Assessing environmental impact of genetically modified seeds in Brazilian agriculture. Frontiers in Bioengineering and Biotechnology, 10, 977793. https://doi.org/10.3389/fbioe.2022.977793 DOI: https://doi.org/10.3389/fbioe.2022.977793

Sosa, G., Fernández-Long, M., & Vicente-Serrano, S. (2025). Evaluating the performance of drought indices for assessing agricultural droughts in Argentina. Agronomy Journal, 117(1), e70008. https://doi.org/10.1002/agj2.70008 DOI: https://doi.org/10.1002/agj2.70008

Stukenbrock, E., & Gurr, S. (2023). Address the growing urgency of fungal disease in crops. Nature, 617(7959), 31–34. https://doi.org/10.1038/d41586-023-01465-4 DOI: https://doi.org/10.1038/d41586-023-01465-4

Trajtenberg, M. (1990). A penny for your quotes: Patent citations and the value of innovations. The RAND Journal of Economics, 21(1), 172–187. https://doi.org/10.2307/2555502 DOI: https://doi.org/10.2307/2555502

Verspagen, B. (2007). Mapping technological trajectories as patent citation networks: A study on the history of fuel cell research. Advances in Complex Systems, 10(1), 93–115. https://doi.org/10.1142/S0219525907000945 DOI: https://doi.org/10.1142/S0219525907000945

World Intellectual Property Organization (WIPO). (2023). International patent classification (IPC). https://www.wipo.int/classifications/ipc/en/

Published

2026-05-25

How to Cite

Ferrari, V. E., Aparecida de Sousa, G., Ferreira da Silva Filho, C., & Carvalho De Benedicto, S. (2026). Biotechnological Innovation and Agricultural Adaptation to Climate Change: A Patent-Based Analysis. Future Studies Research Journal: Trends and Strategies, 18(1), e977. https://doi.org/10.24023/FutureJournal/2175-5825/2026.v18i1.977

Issue

Section

Artigos / Articles